요즘은 스크랩으로만 하게 되는군. 오늘까지만 이러구 블로그 본연의 모습(?)을 회복해 보자구.
전문은 McKinsey Quarterly 의 “Ten trends to watch in 2006” 참조.
- Centers of economic activity will shift profoundly, not just globally, but also regionally – Asia will overtake Europe economically, although the U.S. will have the largest economic growth for the next 20 years.
- Public-sector activities will balloon, making productivity gains essential – Aging populations are creating demand for public services, which in turn will increase taxes.
- The consumer landscape will change and expand significantly – Consumer spending power in emerging economies is growing. Here in the U.S., the Hispanic consumer is growing.
Social & environmental trends
- Technological connectivity will transform the way people live and interact – The article notes, “For perhaps the first time in history, geography is not the primary constraint on the limits of social and economic organization.”
- The battlefield for talent will shift – A global labor market is opening up.
- The role and behavior of big business will come under increasingly sharp scrutiny.
- Demand for natural resources will grow, as will the strain on the environment.
Business & industry trends
- New global industry structures are emerging – According to the article, “In many industries, a barbell-like structure is appearing, with a few giants on top, a narrow middle, and then a flourish of smaller, fast-moving players on the bottom. ”
- Management will go from art to science. Gut instinct management is dead, the authors say. I say, “maybe.”
- Ubiquitous access to information is changing the economics of knowledge – Think open-source knowledge creation.